Vegas Over/Under: 35.5
Fromal’s Record Projection: 36-46 The Bet: Prevent lean over
To be quite frank, I would recommend leaning over no matter where the line is put for the Dallas Mavericks. And that is for one simple reason: Rick Carlisle.
The head coach is a genius in milking talent out of the players, routinely turning castoffs and unwanted pieces into quality turning members. He has done so year after year, and 2017-18 ought to be different.
Except it is different. Because while this group might be rebuilding during the final couple of seasons of Dirk Nowitzki’s career (assuming the mythical 4 ever chooses to retire), it eventually has different talent at quite a few distinct positions.
Dennis Smith Jr., Seth Curry, Wesley Matthews, Harrison Barnes and Nowitzki makes for a potent starting lineup, along with the Mavs will mix and match to get Yogi Ferrell and Nerlens Noel around the floor. That’s far more talent and upside than the group owned during the 2016-17 effort, and it moved 33-49.
Seasons in the frontcourt pieces? Barnes with a year of experience in a role under his belt? Smith added as a Rookie of the Year threat into the rotation?
Vegas place the over/under aggressively with this roster, but motives to think they’re sold a bit brief still exist.
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