Conor McGregor vs Khabib Nurmagomedov is a battle of styles that the sport of MMA was made for. Perhaps the best striker in the match vs the best grappler in this game is a fantasy fight for UFC fans and Nurmagomedov, the existing UFC lightweight champion, is preferred to succeed at -170 with McGregor coming back in +140. The mega-fight will occur tonight in Las Vegas in UFC 229.
From a promotional standpoint, making that the fight is a dream come true for the UFC as it will undoubtedly be among the most profitable events in their own history, and by a gaming perspective, there’s lots of money to be produced too. McGregor fans will probably be foaming at the mouth to put a wager about the Irishman, particularly at plus-money, however is that a wise bet vs the 26-0 Nurmagomedov, whose smothering grappling design has been completely unsolvable?
McGregor’s grappling skills are most likely in the typical selection and that’s an area where he has been taken advantage of before. A considerably smaller Chad Mendes easily took McGregor to the mat if he wanted to at UFC 189 (yes, I understand McGregor won the struggle ), and he had been choked out by Nate Diaz in UFC 196.
He does have a significant drawback when it comes to wrestling, however, there are other areas where McGregor could have a definite upper hand, most especially with his palms. Eighteen of his 21 professional wins have come via T/KO and he’s got a very impressive hit list that includes finishes of Jose Aldo, Eddie Alvarez, Dustin Poirier and, of course, Paulie Malignaggi (insert smiley face emoji here).
Line Movement (or lack thereof)
If the quantity of gambling action McGregor received vs Floyd Mayweather is any indication, some bettors clearly do not care how he matches up stylistically — after opening at +950 vs Mayweather, McGregor closed at +265 due to an avalanche of stakes placed on him.
Many, including myself, presumed we would have seen far more movement on the line as a result of plenty of public cash coming in around McGregor, but this has not been the case however. On the day Khabib vs McGregor was announced, Nurmagomedov opened -200 with McGregor in +160. With the champ now at -170 and Conor in +140 on the day of the fight, there is still pretty excellent value on McGregor as a puppy and people that are confident in Khabib should feel good about getting him at a far better number than his opening odds.
Read more: trlhockey.com